Coverage scale: data and analysis span more than 50 automaker groups, 140 brands and 1,400 models.
- Forecast basis: production forecasts align with Automotive World’s total industry volume (TIV) outlook and reflect expected demand over each model’s lifecycle.
- Input mix: quantitative factors include historical performance and available manufacturing capacity, alongside qualitative variables such as initial market reception, OEM-stated targets credibility and internal/external competition.
- Model variation: the criteria apply differently across models, especially for new platforms or new generations of existing models.
The data and analysis are by Jonathan Storey and Ian Henry.
For manufacturing professionals, the useful detail is the model-level spread. The coverage is broad, but the forecast logic is not one-size-fits-all.
Forecast method
The production forecasts align with Automotive World’s total industry volume (TIV) outlook. For each model, the figures reflect expected demand over its lifecycle.
Quantitative factors include historical performance and available manufacturing capacity. Qualitative variables include initial market reception, the credibility of OEM-stated targets and internal/external competition.
Where the criteria shift
The applicability of these criteria varies between models. That variation is especially relevant for brand-new platforms or new generations of existing models, where the balance between historical performance, market reception and stated targets can differ from established nameplates.
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